Thursday, January 19, 2006
WitPotS Federal Election Pool 2006
We're going to keep this one for bragging rights only, I think, since I don't feel like administering money.
The rules are simple:
1. E-mail me how many seats you think each party will win (sarcasticidealist@gmail.com) by midnight on January 22nd (to clarify: this means the midnight separating the 22nd from the 23rd).
2. Independents, even though none will win, are counted as their own party.
3. Any parties that you don't bother to mention will be assumed to win zero seats in your prediction.
4. Your picks *must* add up to 308. There's no reason for this rule, since there is no advantage to be gained by not adding your picks up to 308, but it's still a rule.
5. I will post the predictions here before election results begin to come in.
6. Each player's score will be determined by summing the absolute values of the differences between each party's actual seats obtained and that player's predicted seats for that party.
7. The winner will be the player with the lowest score.
8. Tangential predictions - such as riding-by-riding or province-by-province predictions are welcome, but will have no bearing on the pool. They are useful for additional bragging rights, though (I speak as a guy who made is 1997 predictions riding-by-riding and turned out to be spectacularily wrong, but in a destructive interference sort of way, which allowed me to win the pool anyway).
Go!
EDIT: Speaking of games, anybody interested in playing Great Canadian Pie should e-mail me. Seriously.
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We're going to keep this one for bragging rights only, I think, since I don't feel like administering money.
The rules are simple:
1. E-mail me how many seats you think each party will win (sarcasticidealist@gmail.com) by midnight on January 22nd (to clarify: this means the midnight separating the 22nd from the 23rd).
2. Independents, even though none will win, are counted as their own party.
3. Any parties that you don't bother to mention will be assumed to win zero seats in your prediction.
4. Your picks *must* add up to 308. There's no reason for this rule, since there is no advantage to be gained by not adding your picks up to 308, but it's still a rule.
5. I will post the predictions here before election results begin to come in.
6. Each player's score will be determined by summing the absolute values of the differences between each party's actual seats obtained and that player's predicted seats for that party.
7. The winner will be the player with the lowest score.
8. Tangential predictions - such as riding-by-riding or province-by-province predictions are welcome, but will have no bearing on the pool. They are useful for additional bragging rights, though (I speak as a guy who made is 1997 predictions riding-by-riding and turned out to be spectacularily wrong, but in a destructive interference sort of way, which allowed me to win the pool anyway).
Go!
EDIT: Speaking of games, anybody interested in playing Great Canadian Pie should e-mail me. Seriously.
