Saturday, September 30, 2006
Nerd!
So I've been glued to this all day.
Preliminary thoughts, at a time when Igantieff is leading Rae, Dion, and GerardKennedy with delegate counts of 314, 185, 184, and 135 respectively with 107 meetings reporting:
1. I'm gratified that Dion is so close behind Rae (until the hundredth meeting or so, he was actually slightly ahead), but the ex-officio delegates will swing to Rae over Dion by a margin of at least 2:1. Of course, it seems probably that a lot of the delegate elected this weekend won't make it to the convention anyway, by reason of cost, so who knows what's going to happen? This is the most exciting piece of political theatre since the federal election, but it shouldn't be mistaken for democracy.
2. Dryden's hurting. Badly.
3. Joe Volpe has 41 delegates. I'm trying to imagine the kind of person who could say, with a straight face, that Joe Volpe would make a good Prime Minister of Canada, but my imagination's failing me.
4. Exhaustive list of provinces where Rae is ahead of Dion: B.C., Newfoundland.
5. Rae's doing so badly (fourth place) in Ontario not because he's unelectable in Ontario, but because Ontario *Liberals* learned to dislike him back when they were, you know, opposing his government.
I suppose now's as good a time as any to reveal what my preferential ballot would look like in this race, if I was allowed to cast one:
1. Stéphane Dion
2. Ken Dryden
3. Martha Hall Findlay
4. Micahel Ignatieff
5. Gerard Kennedy
6. None of the Above
7. Bob Rae
8. Scott Brison
9. Joe Volpe
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So I've been glued to this all day.
Preliminary thoughts, at a time when Igantieff is leading Rae, Dion, and GerardKennedy with delegate counts of 314, 185, 184, and 135 respectively with 107 meetings reporting:
1. I'm gratified that Dion is so close behind Rae (until the hundredth meeting or so, he was actually slightly ahead), but the ex-officio delegates will swing to Rae over Dion by a margin of at least 2:1. Of course, it seems probably that a lot of the delegate elected this weekend won't make it to the convention anyway, by reason of cost, so who knows what's going to happen? This is the most exciting piece of political theatre since the federal election, but it shouldn't be mistaken for democracy.
2. Dryden's hurting. Badly.
3. Joe Volpe has 41 delegates. I'm trying to imagine the kind of person who could say, with a straight face, that Joe Volpe would make a good Prime Minister of Canada, but my imagination's failing me.
4. Exhaustive list of provinces where Rae is ahead of Dion: B.C., Newfoundland.
5. Rae's doing so badly (fourth place) in Ontario not because he's unelectable in Ontario, but because Ontario *Liberals* learned to dislike him back when they were, you know, opposing his government.
I suppose now's as good a time as any to reveal what my preferential ballot would look like in this race, if I was allowed to cast one:
1. Stéphane Dion
2. Ken Dryden
3. Martha Hall Findlay
4. Micahel Ignatieff
5. Gerard Kennedy
6. None of the Above
7. Bob Rae
8. Scott Brison
9. Joe Volpe
